uredfgf
0xfa13669a99a4ea3ce168ff8d7077edbe13aa721d
- Realised P&L
- $-231.12
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $0.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.330Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$3.82at 0.340Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2AM ET
- +$3.58at 0.370Warriors vs. Rockets
- +$3.41at 0.370Bulls vs. Suns
- +$2.65at 0.430Senators vs. Flames
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 01:56 | Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999291 | $1.50 |
| 03-06 03:16 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | SELL | 0.998 | $282.71 |
| 03-06 03:15 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $283.00 |
| 03-06 03:15 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $280.70 |
| 03-06 03:15 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999999 | $281.00 |
| 03-06 03:14 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $280.72 |
| 03-06 03:13 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $281.00 |
| 03-06 03:07 | Senators vs. Flames | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 03:06 | Bulls vs. Suns | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 03:06 | Warriors vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.369999933 | $2.10 |
| 03-05 03:35 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $389.22 |
| 03-05 03:35 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $390.00 |
| 03-05 03:32 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.992 | $389.43 |
| 03-05 03:32 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.993431935 | $390.00 |
| 03-05 03:31 | Islanders vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.649999792 | $2.50 |