PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wazzzzzap

0xfa12f098624225d5494d57e4cb90b5c192549ff3

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$217.0k
Markets traded
326
Open portfolio
$9.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded326
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · No0.5900.540$6.7k−$620.02
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9800.982$1.3k+$1.93
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9190.930$744.00+$9.00
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26? · Yes0.5610.595$333.17+$18.83
Is Earth flat? · No0.9920.994$298.06+$0.45
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9640.974$292.05+$2.85
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.320$147.51+$9.22
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9500.954$38.16+$0.16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.3840.520$31.50+$8.27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5430.428$8.56−$2.30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? · No0.6600.685$7.84+$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 06:55Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.987$42.11
10-24 07:18Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?SELL0.29$1.45
10-24 07:13Set Handicap: Francesco Forti (-1.5) vs Oriol Roca Batalla (+1.5)BUY0.999$55.94
10-22 07:50Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.19$114.00
10-18 18:44Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?BUY0.62$137.63
10-18 18:43Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)BUY0.58$128.76
10-18 08:48Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael JodarBUY0.6$59.40
10-15 06:42Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.57$2.43
10-14 05:17Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.987$76.53
10-11 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.39$1.95
10-10 18:37Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.61$549.00
10-10 18:37Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.61$6.1k
10-10 18:36Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.61$61.00
10-10 09:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.4$2.00
10-09 18:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.51$2.55