PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MANUSA

0xfa112aaeecf147e83d5402806b501bf27e07f753

Realised P&L
$-976.91
Volume
$83.4k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$18.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3160.305$15.87−$0.53
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0030.002$2.92−$2.68
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.001$0.20−$2.93
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$134.25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$175.19
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$18.65
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$40.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3500.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$24.50
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$197.00
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.76
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 15:07Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0028748924$5.60
10-04 15:06Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.472$5.38
10-04 04:30Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.619999999$197.00
07-20 02:59Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3156672764$20.00
07-07 21:49Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0289999997$90.41
07-07 21:47Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.14$95.95
07-07 17:23Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.5299999975$84.25
07-07 16:57Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499999975$50.00
07-07 16:36Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.44$45.83
07-07 16:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.128$13.84
07-07 16:34Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2399999967$50.00
07-07 16:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
07-07 05:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999926$20.00
07-07 01:42Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999527$3.89
07-07 01:36Will United States win on 2026-07-06?SELL0.006$1.38