MANUSA
0xfa112aaeecf147e83d5402806b501bf27e07f753
- Realised P&L
- $-976.91
- Volume
- $83.4k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $18.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.550Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$144.33at 0.677Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5
- +$44.00at 0.696Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$25.31at 0.795United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5
- +$17.04at 0.190Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 15:07 | Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0028748924 | $5.60 |
| 10-04 15:06 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.472 | $5.38 |
| 10-04 04:30 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.619999999 | $197.00 |
| 07-20 02:59 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3156672764 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 21:49 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $90.41 |
| 07-07 21:47 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.14 | $95.95 |
| 07-07 17:23 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.5299999975 | $84.25 |
| 07-07 16:57 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 16:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.44 | $45.83 |
| 07-07 16:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.128 | $13.84 |
| 07-07 16:34 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 16:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 05:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 01:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999527 | $3.89 |
| 07-07 01:36 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.38 |