Deni.ES
0xfa091382ac65dacf39f15ddc63ca8adf82aaef0a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $650.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,288
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,288
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.068Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$2.9kat 0.248Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$1.9kat 0.175Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$916.09at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$490.92at 0.937Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0660389697 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0084660987 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0119036282 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.08 |
| 08-04 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0474811263 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0357813758 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0428192173 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $63.50 |
| 08-01 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.3763928969 | $24.00 |
| 07-30 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.1391086267 | $13.00 |
| 07-27 21:31 | Will Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |