PolyBot

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Traders

Deni.ES

0xfa091382ac65dacf39f15ddc63ca8adf82aaef0a

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$673.2k
Markets traded
3,344
Open portfolio
$67.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,344
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.1800.395$43.89+$23.89
Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? · Yes0.2600.060$10.83−$36.17
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.3260.325$9.97−$0.03
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.1670.043$2.61−$7.39
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.4800.305$0.63−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? · Yes0.1850.001$0.02−$8.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 06:44Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 89 km/h or below in September?SELL0.9722315422$22.25
09-23 20:40Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?BUY0.1852935438$9.00
09-17 15:34Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?BUY0.2199999979$17.00
09-16 12:39Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?BUY0.3539953517$20.00
09-16 12:38Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.1799999986$20.00
09-16 08:10Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.1665011257$10.00
09-15 21:38Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?BUY0.2$5.00
09-15 18:34Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.3261288428$10.00
09-15 18:33Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-11 11:48Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?BUY0.0334696913$9.00
09-11 08:55Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 89 km/h or below in September?BUY0.8734014514$20.00
09-07 20:02Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 7?BUY0.0681000093$5.00
09-07 14:01Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7?BUY0.0778843024$5.00
09-07 10:16Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?BUY0.1184600073$8.00
09-07 06:43Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?BUY0.1304780769$10.00