Palla
0xfa03addf75e514cdfba3c97c5d2edb3679ae3d8a
- Realised P&L
- $-729.18
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $20.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.084 | $20.19 | −$20.23 |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.76at 0.510MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$40.65at 0.578Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$28.17at 0.710US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$19.05at 0.840Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$12.19at 0.804Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:32 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1681755296 | $40.42 |
| 07-12 00:30 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.2354238467 | $209.85 |
| 07-07 19:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.186 | $18.60 |
| 07-05 22:11 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3369999288 | $1.96 |
| 07-03 18:46 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 18:24 | Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 16:09 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.073 | $7.30 |
| 07-03 01:18 | Breel Embolo: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1637764887 | $25.00 |
| 06-29 20:50 | Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $28.96 |
| 06-28 21:41 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5189999926 | $23.00 |
| 06-27 16:45 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.229 | $20.70 |
| 06-19 22:48 | Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.0518009462 | $30.00 |
| 06-19 22:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.22437492 | $200.00 |
| 06-13 22:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $228.17 |
| 05-30 20:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.709999999 | $200.00 |