PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Palla

0xfa03addf75e514cdfba3c97c5d2edb3679ae3d8a

Realised P&L
$-729.18
Volume
$18.0k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$20.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.1680.084$20.19$20.23
Breel Embolo: 1+ assists · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$25.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$50.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00$24.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up0.3510.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$5.00
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.5660.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 23:32Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.1681755296$40.42
07-12 00:30Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.2354238467$209.85
07-07 19:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.186$18.60
07-05 22:11Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3369999288$1.96
07-03 18:46Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY0.3099999968$50.00
07-03 18:24Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsBUY0.1799999976$50.00
07-03 16:09Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.073$7.30
07-03 01:18Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsBUY0.1637764887$25.00
06-29 20:50Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.05$28.96
06-28 21:41Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5189999926$23.00
06-27 16:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.229$20.70
06-19 22:48Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.0518009462$30.00
06-19 22:48Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.22437492$200.00
06-13 22:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$228.17
05-30 20:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.709999999$200.00