damnedspot
0xf9fc17fccb2cc1e35993b35efafb096a896afc19
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $47.3k
- Markets traded
- 594
- Open portfolio
- $23.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded594
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.560 | 0.545 | $9.73 | −$0.27 |
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.560 | 0.565 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
| New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.500 | 0.495 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.480 | 0.475 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers · San Francisco Giants | 0.390 | 0.380 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.390 | 0.375 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.75at 0.598Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$155.26at 0.734Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$144.91at 0.262Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$100.69at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$97.85at 0.539Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:09 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 05:08 | New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 05:08 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 05:08 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 05:08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 05:08 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 02:04 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 22:34 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 22:33 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:58 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:58 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 09:57 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:57 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 09:57 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:57 | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |