0xf9F9dd1e20B887899d313438f5657c8b104A0248-1791764805956
0xf9f9dd1e20b887899d313438f5657c8b104a0248
- Realised P&L
- $-346.07
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $626.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.200Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?
- +$-1.23at 0.770Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?
- +$-1.50at 0.800Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:19 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-13 04:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4464578624 | $13.83 |
| 10-13 03:52 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $222.50 |
| 10-13 03:51 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $132.00 |
| 10-13 03:51 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 10-13 03:39 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.874375 | $223.84 |
| 10-13 03:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $32.00 |
| 10-13 03:28 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.859924812 | $114.37 |
| 10-13 03:20 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.8553645048 | $102.08 |
| 10-13 03:20 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.8385892205 | $39.05 |
| 10-13 03:13 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-13 03:12 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-13 03:12 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-13 03:12 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-13 03:12 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |