PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mikeson

0xf9f68a4b985457ac440b677b313f7505f040a410

Realised P&L
$0.52
Volume
$35.8k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? · Yes0.0500.004$0.35$4.65
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? · Yes0.0900.004$0.20$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 13:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$15.00
03-16 13:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$10.00
03-13 14:56Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?BUY0.0896449903$5.00
03-13 14:56Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?BUY0.05$5.00
03-11 17:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$10.00
03-11 17:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0051606333$10.00
03-11 17:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$10.00
03-04 17:39Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?BUY0.1069999831$5.00
03-04 17:36Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?BUY0.0099729197$1.00
02-13 13:55Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?BUY0.1472221839$3.00
02-12 14:14Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?BUY0.0571428571$20.00
02-10 14:48Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
02-10 14:46Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
02-10 14:46Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
02-10 14:46Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00