Mikeson
0xf9f68a4b985457ac440b677b313f7505f040a410
- Realised P&L
- $0.52
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.004 | $0.35 | −$4.65 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.004 | $0.20 | −$4.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.97at 0.051Will monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?
- +$17.22at 0.462Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
- +$6.76at 0.012Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.010Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
- +$-1.00at 0.012Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 13:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 03-16 13:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 14:56 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | BUY | 0.0896449903 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 14:56 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 17:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 17:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0051606333 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 17:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 17:39 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | BUY | 0.1069999831 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 17:36 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%? | BUY | 0.0099729197 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 13:55 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | BUY | 0.1472221839 | $3.00 |
| 02-12 14:14 | Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 14:48 | Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 14:46 | Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 14:46 | Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 02-10 14:46 | Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 33% and 35.9% in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |