api3799
0xf9f2fadb03a828f3024227034283e638bb73771f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $255.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,096
- Open portfolio
- $916.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,096
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 9?
- +$1.3kat 0.500Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 5?
- +$1.2kat 0.547Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 14?
- +$1.1kat 0.500Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?
- +$900.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 09-25 09:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-25 05:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9589999999 | $138.24 |
| 09-25 05:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.959987457 | $388.80 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9589678594 | $22.08 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.958 | $22.08 |
| 09-25 05:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9489999984 | $18.05 |
| 09-25 05:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9483601049 | $28.50 |
| 09-25 04:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9519999988 | $19.20 |
| 09-25 04:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9517848357 | $90.24 |
| 09-25 04:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.9303120967 | $96.00 |
| 09-25 04:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.10 |
| 09-25 04:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $42.75 |
| 09-25 02:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.95 | $44.20 |
| 09-25 02:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.10 |