PragMax
0xf9f2c4bb33c907a5ad695e3da747e10bafc6c27c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $54.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.24at 0.307Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
- +$118.70at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 14?
- +$116.50at 0.149Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?
- +$109.53at 0.275Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
- +$108.38at 0.221Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.8799196535 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.66 |
| 10-18 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.13 |
| 10-18 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.6857381308 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1695695332 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.61 |
| 10-17 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3490565995 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.4278606786 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.67 |
| 10-16 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.8043927689 | $40.00 |
| 10-15 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $47.97 |
| 10-14 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.8258354234 | $39.66 |
| 10-14 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.0969649956 | $2.00 |