PragMax
0xf9f2c4bb33c907a5ad695e3da747e10bafc6c27c
- Realised P&L
- $-618.11
- Volume
- $36.1k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $178.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.47at 0.297Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
- +$117.36at 0.143Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?
- +$73.17at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?
- +$65.15at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?
- +$60.80at 0.248Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3699999926 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2158038077 | $18.00 |
| 08-07 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2091071429 | $11.71 |
| 08-07 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5067852893 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.996989819 | $35.25 |
| 08-07 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.996 | $39.05 |
| 08-07 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.05 |
| 08-07 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8483795723 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6651841264 | $30.00 |
| 08-06 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.0897521685 | $3.62 |
| 08-06 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2478064358 | $10.00 |