0xF9f0a4979583Ecd39dfF7DFC1461eEDdcd71fcC4-1782804552672
0xf9f0a4979583ecd39dff7dfc1461eeddcd71fcc4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $184.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.345 | $172.45 | +$2.45 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$30.50 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.26 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.06 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Team Vitality | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$330.63 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? · No | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Sweden to score first vs. France? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$322.65 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$871.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.78at 0.252Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$44.73at 0.702Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$16.46at 0.120Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 20:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.006 | $59.02 |
| 07-22 18:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.023 | $15.06 |
| 07-22 18:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0097285725 | $52.26 |
| 07-21 17:34 | Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.72 | $92.88 |
| 07-20 12:35 | Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.59 | $12.39 |
| 07-17 20:55 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | SELL | 0.2 | $59.88 |
| 07-17 16:42 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | BUY | 0.3595412844 | $205.75 |
| 07-16 10:13 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.39 |
| 07-06 18:49 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.035 | $28.77 |
| 07-06 18:49 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.035 | $210.00 |
| 07-06 17:43 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $197.53 |
| 07-01 07:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $346.51 |
| 06-30 19:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2862532611 | $301.74 |
| 06-30 19:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3185252601 | $229.94 |
| 06-30 19:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $168.44 |