0xf9efc7ce79016a6fc2c377b56da2665f6dc2a82c
0xf9efc7ce79016a6fc2c377b56da2665f6dc2a82c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.54
- Volume
- $352.77
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $3.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B? · No | 0.720 | 0.940 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.350 | $0.94 | −$0.37 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.455 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.285 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$5.28at 0.308Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.389Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:09 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:26 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:04 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999843 | $1.36 |
| 09-21 14:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999389 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 12:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 17:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 06:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 10:23 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |