Chrisyevil
0xf9e7477955a374354f6864db1841e19ceeb50a87
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $223.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.854 | 0.835 | $5.9k | −$135.61 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.745 | $3.3k | −$89.33 |
| Will England win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.810 | $194.58 | +$21.62 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.00 |
| Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will England win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.841Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.907France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.934Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.864Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.721France vs. England: Team to Win
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:19 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8376571288 | $3.0k |
| 10-01 00:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8716390062 | $3.0k |
| 09-29 23:58 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.16 |
| 09-29 18:40 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.6k |
| 09-29 01:32 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7649216547 | $3.4k |
| 09-29 00:41 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.9k |
| 09-27 22:21 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $176.00 |
| 09-26 18:11 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2699999984 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 22:32 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $2.5k |
| 09-25 19:29 | Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $105.00 |
| 09-24 22:15 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 09-24 19:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.7596021131 | $1.0k |
| 09-19 19:08 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.7k |
| 09-17 19:06 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.7k |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.0k |