ilikes
0xf9e60c5512b01257e814cfa3f9e2f695fcc50625
- Realised P&L
- $-338.62
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $45.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.065 | $31.02 | −$255.34 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.135 | $12.55 | −$73.94 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.444 | 0.055 | $1.83 | −$12.95 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.09at 0.940Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$4.27at 0.983Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.91at 0.954Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.42at 0.679Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
- +$0.80at 0.905Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:17 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.66 |
| 07-08 07:15 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.85 |
| 06-10 12:09 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999643 | $2.96 |
| 06-10 12:09 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.80 |
| 05-25 09:43 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.43 | $11.02 |
| 03-16 11:04 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 03-16 11:02 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.395 | $1.34 |
| 01-10 12:50 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $440.15 |
| 01-10 12:49 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $440.60 |
| 01-10 12:49 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $440.60 |
| 01-10 12:46 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $441.05 |
| 01-10 12:46 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $441.05 |
| 01-10 12:39 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $441.50 |
| 01-10 12:39 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $441.50 |
| 01-10 12:38 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.995 | $441.94 |