0xf9e5acab3ff6b7cb39dd07968ce2df7f1f74b219
0xf9e5acab3ff6b7cb39dd07968ce2df7f1f74b219
- Realised P&L
- $789.34
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $54.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.936 | 1.000 | $54.38 | +$3.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.78at 0.241Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17?
- +$170.77at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 1?
- +$126.71at 0.059Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?
- +$109.21at 0.378Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?
- +$88.36at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.979 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.51 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.983 | $2.30 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.971 | $2.61 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.84 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.83 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.952 | $8.01 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.954 | $5.34 |
| 10-28 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.5001966125 | $101.00 |
| 10-28 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.4225173065 | $33.57 |
| 10-28 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.5325036964 | $10.80 |
| 10-28 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.29 |
| 10-28 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.18 |
| 10-28 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.0783291967 | $9.34 |
| 10-28 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.13 |