0xF9E59080a2deD235330454a1271aa723822e633F-1768756293264
0xf9e59080a2ded235330454a1271aa723822e633f
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $31.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.155 | $31.00 | −$141.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.40 |
| Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela · Japan | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.398Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?
- +$168.92at 0.950Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
- +$125.56at 0.940Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
- +$124.69at 0.686Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$110.00at 0.890Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 03:16 | Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 03:15 | Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-26 14:24 | Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9275114669 | $444.87 |
| 02-26 14:22 | Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9012281995 | $36.69 |
| 02-25 15:10 | Hyperlend FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9861921249 | $313.32 |
| 02-25 15:10 | Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6819326196 | $134.40 |
| 02-16 10:03 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 02-16 10:03 | Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 02-16 10:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February? | BUY | 0.986 | $295.80 |
| 02-16 10:00 | Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 02-16 09:59 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.98585574 | $985.86 |
| 02-16 09:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $28.56 |
| 02-16 09:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 02-11 17:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 02-11 17:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |