0xf9e14B2ADFCc91E975820Ef5710996cB8f234d1f-1771978605125
0xf9e14b2adfcc91e975820ef5710996cb8f234d1f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $102.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $513.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.828 | 0.987 | $297.51 | +$47.92 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.002 | $129.54 | −$1.8k |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.609 | 0.860 | $86.00 | +$25.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.31at 0.490Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.59at 0.014Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-6.85at 0.011Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.011 | $29.09 |
| 06-15 23:03 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.67 |
| 06-15 23:03 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0148754845 | $24.37 |
| 06-15 23:00 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.01 |
| 06-08 01:11 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $6.38 |
| 06-08 01:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.80 |
| 06-08 00:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.829 | $4.14 |
| 05-30 20:29 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.026 | $62.21 |
| 05-27 14:19 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.036 | $45.76 |
| 05-27 14:10 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.42 |
| 05-27 14:05 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.034 | $14.54 |
| 05-27 12:48 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0335845297 | $67.44 |
| 05-27 12:48 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.031 | $14.61 |
| 05-26 18:59 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.043 | $17.80 |
| 05-26 18:56 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.043 | $25.80 |