oleh108
0xf9deb229b0927bfce253daae801f05f7494bfc3c
- Realised P&L
- $-812.78
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $547.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.82at 0.351Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.84at 0.190Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$4.17at 0.960Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?
- +$2.51at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$1.60at 0.180Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 17:35 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.019841 | $1.98 |
| 06-16 16:17 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999955 | $28.00 |
| 06-09 13:16 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage | SELL | 0.0698128387 | $12.50 |
| 06-02 07:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2? | BUY | 0.527744 | $26.39 |
| 06-01 07:10 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 05-31 22:49 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 22:08 | Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 13:11 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 05-31 13:10 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 05-30 12:15 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 05-30 11:57 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 05-30 05:12 | Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 05-30 05:11 | Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 04-22 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-17 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.86 |