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Traders

oleh108

0xf9deb229b0927bfce253daae801f05f7494bfc3c

Realised P&L
$-812.78
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$547.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4310.195$547.77−$662.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$228.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.2120.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.0750.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down0.2420.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$20.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.0140.000$0.00−$3.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No0.0220.000$0.00−$9.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 17:35Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?SELL0.019841$1.98
06-16 16:17Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4199999955$28.00
06-09 13:16Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group StageSELL0.0698128387$12.50
06-02 07:21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?BUY0.527744$26.39
06-01 07:10Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?SELL0.999$19.98
05-31 22:49Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?SELL0.75$15.00
05-31 22:08Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?SELL0.75$15.00
05-31 13:11Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?BUY0.77$15.40
05-31 13:10Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?BUY0.77$15.40
05-30 12:15Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?BUY0.98$19.60
05-30 11:57Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?BUY0.62$6.20
05-30 05:12Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?BUY0.76$15.20
05-30 05:11Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?BUY0.76$15.20
04-22 14:13Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.01$0.86
04-17 09:24Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.04$0.86