Rennrad
0xf9da3581d0b93e33ed2c271ed0a97c2c778af9de
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $799.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,510
- Open portfolio
- $418.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,510
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.691 | 0.920 | $418.40 | +$104.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$589.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$393.94at 0.614Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 27?
- +$284.75at 0.287Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?
- +$275.26at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?
- +$246.75at 0.485Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?
- +$207.99at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.40 |
| 10-12 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $200.55 |
| 10-12 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.93 |
| 10-12 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.6041203291 | $121.90 |
| 10-12 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.95 |
| 10-12 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 10-12 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 10-12 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 10-12 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9978587147 | $39.90 |
| 10-12 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $212.75 |
| 10-12 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.9968402811 | $62.41 |
| 10-12 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.95 |
| 10-12 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.91 |
| 10-12 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-12 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |