shuishen0203
0xf9d8307f1a1c77b4fdc6f28b9f09f7bc6ffeff32
- Realised P&L
- $427.19
- Volume
- $70.7k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $815.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.98at 0.038Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$278.60at 0.550Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
- +$147.00at 0.120Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$140.40at 0.460Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$138.16at 0.755Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.24 | $120.00 |
| 10-03 08:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.24 | $54.96 |
| 09-25 08:32 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 06-27 15:23 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 15:23 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 06-27 15:22 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 02-01 06:46 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $119.60 |
| 02-01 06:42 | Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.0117626859 | $2.77 |
| 02-01 06:24 | Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.04682505 | $9.37 |
| 01-07 12:34 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 01-06 13:31 | Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 01-06 13:24 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 01-03 13:27 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2006818182 | $22.08 |
| 01-03 10:19 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.245 | $14.02 |
| 01-03 07:44 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |