beshbarmak
0xf9cea4047b39fc8cd5be5995250f32e8032d4904
- Realised P&L
- $-332.35
- Volume
- $383.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,332
- Open portfolio
- $82.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,332
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.755 | $31.71 | −$1.05 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.615 | $25.83 | −$1.05 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.295 | $13.28 | −$5.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6? · No | 0.570 | 0.575 | $12.05 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.90at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$275.66at 0.239Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$267.48at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$259.37at 0.248Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$241.49at 0.042Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.78 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? | SELL | 0.588 | $3.50 |
| 08-04 15:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0927019724 | $3.43 |
| 08-04 13:43 | Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 08-04 13:43 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.5794047619 | $24.33 |
| 08-04 13:43 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.6295238095 | $26.44 |
| 08-04 13:43 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.78 |
| 08-04 10:35 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.578 | $22.54 |
| 08-03 14:20 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.05 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 08-02 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $12.88 |
| 08-02 15:40 | Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.655 | $39.30 |
| 08-02 15:20 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%? | SELL | 0.851 | $1.21 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.535 | $0.54 |
| 08-02 13:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.465 | $1.86 |