beshbarmak
0xf9cea4047b39fc8cd5be5995250f32e8032d4904
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $474.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,127
- Open portfolio
- $104.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,127
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.603 | 0.545 | $35.72 | −$3.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.665 | $24.78 | +$0.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 24? · No | 0.403 | 0.325 | $19.24 | −$4.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24? · No | 0.370 | 0.305 | $14.60 | −$3.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 25? · No | 0.480 | 0.395 | $9.68 | −$2.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 21? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.62at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$275.67at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$267.48at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$241.49at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$230.44at 0.177Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.4728935185 | $8.17 |
| 09-23 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.527406029 | $14.17 |
| 09-23 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.47 | $6.58 |
| 09-23 07:46 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 09-23 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.636176822 | $16.64 |
| 09-23 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.4583333333 | $5.50 |
| 09-23 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-23 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.06 |
| 09-23 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6444914917 | $5.85 |
| 09-23 00:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.42 | $16.46 |
| 09-23 00:36 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $6.06 |
| 09-23 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.6141673612 | $36.84 |
| 09-23 00:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-22 00:25 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.85 |
| 09-21 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.44 |