sula9527
0xf9ce1ef72b3cec2cd6230b06103a04fedb4b07ad
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $549.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.500 | 1.000 | $1.3k | +$668.73 |
| FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.84 | −$809.05 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No | 0.334 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$535.00 |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$625.20 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$827.78at 0.281Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
- +$504.49at 0.390Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
- +$232.06at 0.520MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$185.93at 0.568ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon
- +$114.00at 0.400Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:30 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.0015073659 | $2.04 |
| 06-29 16:53 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $325.25 |
| 06-29 13:12 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $345.62 |
| 05-16 06:42 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $176.00 |
| 01-04 12:20 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $117.00 |
| 12-23 05:18 | Pistons vs. Trail Blazers | SELL | 0.29 | $21.75 |
| 12-23 05:14 | Pistons vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.187 | $14.03 |
| 12-21 18:28 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | SELL | 0.984 | $322.74 |
| 12-21 12:31 | FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $5.72 |
| 12-20 12:32 | Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $77.40 |
| 12-07 13:12 | Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $76.00 |
| 07-12 12:05 | Doge ETF approved in 2025? | BUY | 0.2536770274 | $10.03 |
| 05-03 09:29 | Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July? | BUY | 0.9779999992 | $9.81 |