Cryptogaj
0xf9cd894ed0f120226a9d7f74981b8408b89683a3
- Realised P&L
- $-21.84
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.93at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET
- +$31.36at 0.030Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$23.35at 0.435Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET
- +$13.29at 0.070Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
- +$8.09at 0.110Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 19:07 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0207313665 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 19:05 | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 19:04 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.067999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 19:02 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $32.36 |
| 02-04 17:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $9.78 |
| 02-04 17:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 23:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $9.96 |
| 02-03 17:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 16:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999956 | $8.00 |
| 02-02 16:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 16:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999902 | $14.30 |
| 01-21 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999991 | $51.90 |
| 01-20 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.3849925876 | $19.99 |
| 01-10 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-10 13:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999914 | $3.59 |