PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cryptogaj

0xf9cd894ed0f120226a9d7f74981b8408b89683a3

Realised P&L
$-21.84
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0190.024$1.26+$0.26
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.0680.063$0.92−$0.08
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Base launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 October 6-12? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$3.59
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$51.90
USDT depeg in 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$9.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 19:07Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.0207313665$1.00
10-29 19:05Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.019$1.00
10-29 19:04Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.067999997$1.00
10-29 19:02Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.971$32.36
02-04 17:15Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.699999993$9.78
02-04 17:14Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
02-03 23:48Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.1$9.96
02-03 17:14Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ETBUY0.2199999936$20.00
02-02 16:46Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ETBUY0.8799999956$8.00
02-02 16:36Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ETBUY0.3099999836$10.00
02-01 16:19Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11AM ETBUY0.7799999902$14.30
01-21 17:24Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12PM ETBUY0.4699999991$51.90
01-20 20:01Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ETBUY0.3849925876$19.99
01-10 14:01Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.359999987$10.00
01-10 13:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0329999914$3.59