PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DrX-Predictions

0xf9c92a512cc4296b9d2873b486147cd77b42413a

Realised P&L
$10.64
Volume
$534.44
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$19.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 20? · Yes0.9260.900$9.01−$0.26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 12-18? · Yes0.8701.000$2.00+$0.26
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.9300.956$1.54+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14? · Yes0.8801.000$1.21+$0.14
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? · Yes0.9201.000$1.20+$0.10
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9200.915$1.10−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? · Yes0.9070.869$1.06−$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? · Yes0.9100.870$1.05−$0.05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16? · Yes0.9100.832$1.00−$0.09
Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild · Lautaro Midon0.3000.000$0.00−$1.50
W15 Cipolletti: Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso vs Maria Florencia Urrutia · Maria Florencia Urrutia0.2800.000$0.00−$1.40
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00−$4.90
World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Champions · England Champions0.0800.000$0.00−$6.00
W15 Cipolletti: Camila Markus vs Sofia Meabe · Camila Markus0.3100.000$0.00−$1.55
Braga: Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut · Sumit Nagal0.2100.000$0.00−$5.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:17Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 12-18?BUY0.87$1.74
10-14 21:16Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?SELL0.92$1.09
10-14 21:16Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.91$1.08
10-14 21:16Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?SELL0.9$1.08
10-14 21:16Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?SELL0.91$1.09
10-14 21:16Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.91$1.09
10-14 21:15Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.9$1.08
10-14 21:15Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?SELL0.91$1.09
10-14 21:15Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?SELL0.9$1.08
10-14 21:15Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.9$1.80
10-14 20:47Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.91$1.82
10-14 20:47Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?BUY0.94$1.11
10-14 20:42Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.92$1.10
10-14 20:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16?BUY0.91$1.09
10-14 20:41Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.93$1.11