imshelest
0xf9c7d3401bde38430d4fb65bedefb3a378edd022
- Realised P&L
- $-625.97
- Volume
- $111.3k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $430.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.875 | $196.72 | +$21.36 |
| Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.902 | 0.810 | $89.79 | −$10.21 |
| Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.405 | $73.41 | −$26.59 |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.155 | $70.45 | −$29.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$923.87at 0.912Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$111.40at 0.868Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$105.86at 0.874Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$97.24at 0.409Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$85.33at 0.908Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7799999994 | $175.36 |
| 09-13 19:01 | Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 19:01 | Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9021058281 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 19:00 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5517257347 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 13:24 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $489.42 |
| 09-05 16:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $458.83 |
| 09-04 14:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $491.10 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $458.36 |
| 08-30 13:48 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.9755044497 | $477.92 |
| 08-26 20:53 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9756510924 | $478.00 |
| 08-19 15:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.967 | $479.38 |
| 08-06 07:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $421.38 |
| 07-31 12:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9079999979 | $385.17 |
| 07-30 20:50 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.4286360977 | $395.61 |
| 07-30 09:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9621407909 | $888.00 |