Alexdd
0xf9afe373b10ff130a8154789f504792184e27245
- Realised P&L
- $-928.50
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 872
- Open portfolio
- $162.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded872
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.88at 0.114Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$58.12at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$56.41at 0.154Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
- +$55.76at 0.218Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$48.57at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:37 | Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $60.00 |
| 10-27 08:50 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.0334 | $1.67 |
| 10-24 06:38 | Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5666504613 | $45.00 |
| 10-24 06:38 | Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 06:01 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3319997522 | $34.00 |
| 10-23 16:23 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2565789406 | $6.00 |
| 10-23 06:39 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-23 06:37 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2882799267 | $18.00 |
| 10-23 06:36 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.5853283271 | $56.12 |
| 10-22 23:22 | Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.508999998 | $40.00 |
| 10-22 16:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $80.00 |
| 10-21 16:47 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6769845204 | $30.00 |
| 10-21 16:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.26 | $21.67 |
| 10-21 06:41 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6010610861 | $31.00 |
| 10-19 16:38 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6916541722 | $20.00 |