0xf9af87aedfa0f59bd7eca3b181be695587c5429b
0xf9af87aedfa0f59bd7eca3b181be695587c5429b
- Realised P&L
- $6.45
- Volume
- $49.40
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $20.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.960 | $20.46 | +$6.18 |
| Will CSD Municipal vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.034 | $0.31 | −$1.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.74at 0.642Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$2.71at 0.681Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:27 | Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6899999618 | $4.52 |
| 09-24 23:24 | Will CSD Municipal vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999803 | $1.92 |
| 09-24 23:16 | Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6899999745 | $6.49 |
| 09-24 15:58 | Will CSD Municipal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6099999702 | $3.27 |
| 09-24 15:55 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6699999753 | $5.70 |
| 09-24 15:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6299999655 | $6.57 |