0xf9aa94117b44428834f835fcc1c9a55c1387d0a0
0xf9aa94117b44428834f835fcc1c9a55c1387d0a0
- Realised P&L
- $17.65
- Volume
- $207.02
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $8.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.755 | $1.80 | +$0.80 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · No | 0.300 | 0.425 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.725 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.925 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.180 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.295 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.101 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.339Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.43at 0.349Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 20:55 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 23:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 15:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:57 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:49 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:45 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:42 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 19:37 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 17:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:14 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:47 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |