PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

minotaur

0xf9a5248ec732bc9a318242cf4e376d57e5669156

Realised P&L
$-888.96
Volume
$93.5k
Markets traded
696
Open portfolio
$115.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded696
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Yes0.2200.485$10.69+$5.84
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 29? · Yes0.1400.215$4.88+$1.70
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on September 28? · Yes0.2200.480$4.80+$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29? · Yes0.2640.260$4.67−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 29? · Yes0.0410.030$3.26−$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 29? · Yes0.0310.050$3.25+$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 29? · Yes0.2400.225$3.18−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 29? · Yes0.0900.085$3.00−$0.18
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 29? · Yes0.2250.210$2.96−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28? · Yes0.0440.025$2.87−$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 29? · Yes0.1200.105$2.83−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29? · Yes0.2200.215$2.67−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 29? · Yes0.0700.055$2.66−$0.73
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 28? · Yes0.0010.001$2.65+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on September 28? · Yes0.2200.500$2.50+$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 16:22Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?BUY0.002$1.19
09-28 16:22Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?BUY0.003$2.48
09-28 16:22Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 29?BUY0.021$0.53
09-28 16:22Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.002$1.00
09-28 16:22Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.005$0.05
09-28 16:22Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 28?BUY0.001$0.01
09-28 16:22Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 28?BUY0.001$0.01
09-28 16:22Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on September 28?BUY0.009$0.09
09-28 16:22Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 28?BUY0.005$2.25
09-28 16:22Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 28?BUY0.001$0.37
09-28 16:17Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?BUY0.001$0.22
09-28 16:17Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 29?BUY0.003$0.07
09-28 16:17Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 29?BUY0.007$0.04
09-28 16:17Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.009$0.56
09-28 16:17Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 29?BUY0.24$1.80