bingkuai10
0xf9a34f1ef3fab969992825ea4c121a2083907a4b
- Realised P&L
- $40.31
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $59.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? · No | 0.216 | 0.490 | $21.32 | +$11.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.440 | $11.43 | +$7.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? · No | 0.060 | 0.205 | $10.25 | +$7.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? · No | 0.113 | 0.130 | $9.63 | +$1.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.200 | $6.87 | −$1.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $0.28 | −$0.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.48at 0.209Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?
- +$47.36at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?
- +$35.01at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?
- +$11.63at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?
- +$-0.04at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2344130498 | $8.05 |
| 10-01 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1128552134 | $8.36 |
| 10-01 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.97 |
| 10-01 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2158551724 | $9.39 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.92 |
| 10-01 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.75 |
| 10-01 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.0014837684 | $0.31 |
| 10-01 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.93 |
| 10-01 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.27 |
| 10-01 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.0050105681 | $0.63 |
| 10-01 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-01 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0099388613 | $1.30 |
| 10-01 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.68 |
| 10-01 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1449425 | $14.49 |
| 10-01 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.36 |