PolyBot

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Traders

bingkuai10

0xf9a34f1ef3fab969992825ea4c121a2083907a4b

Realised P&L
$40.31
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$59.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? · No0.2160.490$21.32+$11.93
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1? · Yes0.1500.440$11.43+$7.54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? · No0.0600.205$10.25+$7.25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? · No0.1130.130$9.63+$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1? · Yes0.2340.200$6.87−$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? · Yes0.0100.003$0.28−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 1? · Yes0.0070.001$0.10−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:51Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.2344130498$8.05
10-01 06:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.1128552134$8.36
10-01 06:48Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.19$0.97
10-01 06:48Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.2158551724$9.39
10-01 06:23Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.14$2.92
10-01 06:04Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?SELL0.013$0.75
10-01 05:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1?SELL0.0014837684$0.31
10-01 05:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.01$0.93
10-01 05:13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?SELL0.06$6.27
10-01 05:03Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1?SELL0.0050105681$0.63
10-01 05:03Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1?SELL0.01$0.05
10-01 05:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1?BUY0.0099388613$1.30
10-01 04:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.14$1.68
10-01 04:47Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.1449425$14.49
10-01 04:45Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.06$0.36