ProlificCold
0xf996105012517805a702f3c442d45270f96c8fde
- Realised P&L
- $-66.77
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.14at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$16.40at 0.358Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$13.80at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$11.98at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$11.20at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:27 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:26 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:47 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:46 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:52 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:52 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:40 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:40 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.05 |
| 09-21 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 19:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 16:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |