TwinPath
0xf99093b0038656b41c1e10856a232a785aab5530
- Realised P&L
- $460.19
- Volume
- $156.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.997 | $5.1k | −$7.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.95at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
- +$29.30at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?
- +$23.28at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?
- +$20.21at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?
- +$19.89at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.1k |
| 09-16 18:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9977750507 | $5.1k |
| 09-15 18:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.5k |
| 09-09 17:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.8k |
| 09-08 17:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 09-04 20:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $633.10 |
| 09-04 04:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $632.37 |
| 08-30 19:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.89 |
| 08-29 17:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $625.12 |
| 08-25 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $620.76 |
| 08-24 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $619.73 |
| 08-23 17:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $618.38 |
| 08-22 18:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $598.80 |
| 08-21 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $614.91 |
| 08-20 19:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $613.77 |