PolyBot

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Traders

Regulus12

0xf98ea3ffd686eb7e6a1e4d2d615cd614db096bd2

Realised P&L
$-674.49
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$8.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.1000.018$8.75$41.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8PM ET · Down0.4280.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? · Down0.1330.000$0.00$20.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1PM ET · Down0.8170.000$0.00$290.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 21:44Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.0969306931$14.69
03-03 15:43Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY0.7260397827$110.00
02-25 04:05Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL0.98$115.29
02-24 14:39Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.6799999993$80.00
02-10 22:46Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.0350208105$85.19
02-10 22:32Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.0369999996$90.00
02-06 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?BUY0.1332046279$20.00
02-06 15:56Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?SELL0.2905737338$32.41
02-06 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?BUY0.1792828621$20.00
02-06 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?SELL0.4931315532$70.55
02-06 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?BUY0.698999998$100.00
02-05 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1PM ETBUY0.817406847$290.00
02-05 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12PM ETSELL0.999$292.59
02-05 17:41Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12PM ETBUY0.9559999999$280.00
02-03 17:03Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?SELL0.999$288.59