PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

johndickson

0xf98d0da232c440b3e0de258dd6cb3c3301a6e160

Realised P&L
$36.14
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$64.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30? · Yes0.5101.000$19.67+$9.64
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 28? · No0.5501.000$19.64+$8.84
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5100.545$17.36+$1.11
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? · Yes0.6501.000$8.19+$2.87
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) · EDward Gaming0.5500.000$0.00−$6.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:20Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$3.05
01-31 13:56Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.9969999285$11.98
01-30 15:10Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$8.25
01-30 13:19Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January?BUY0.999$22.81
01-30 12:41Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.997$30.75
12-30 16:00Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.9979998955$5.35
12-30 10:46Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$11.67
12-29 20:54Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$8.36
12-29 20:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.9989999682$11.62
12-29 19:47Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.997$17.30
12-29 19:33Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?BUY0.998999975$16.57
10-30 23:37Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$17.18
10-30 22:34Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$19.13
10-30 20:39Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.99$18.28
09-29 18:30Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.999$14.64