PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF989bfD152EEcB79A40a8F1Fe13312259DCff501-1779310753107

0xf989bfd152eecb79a40a8f1fe13312259dcff501

Realised P&L
$-11.63
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$0.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0420.020$0.95−$1.05
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump kiss by May 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$2.00
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Team Liquid0.4500.000$0.00−$8.59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Aurora0.4300.000$0.00−$3.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 21:45Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.3699999112$2.00
05-21 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
05-21 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
05-21 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.02$0.80
05-21 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.05$2.00
05-21 20:09Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY0.0189999908$2.00
05-21 19:57Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY0.4299999295$3.11
05-21 19:40Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsSELL0.999$10.40
05-21 13:57Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY0.4799999808$5.00
05-21 13:30Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsSELL0.999$25.50
05-21 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL0.02$1.33
05-21 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
05-21 12:39Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY0.4699999915$10.00
05-21 12:38Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
05-21 12:34Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBUY0.4699998919$2.00