0xF989bfD152EEcB79A40a8F1Fe13312259DCff501-1779310753107
0xf989bfd152eecb79a40a8f1fe13312259dcff501
- Realised P&L
- $-11.63
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $0.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.020 | $0.95 | −$1.05 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Team Liquid | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.59 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Aurora | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.90at 0.477Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
- +$5.33at 0.487Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
- +$-0.89at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$-2.09at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$-5.66at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 05-21 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 20:09 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.0189999908 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 19:57 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999295 | $3.11 |
| 05-21 19:40 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $10.40 |
| 05-21 13:57 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 13:30 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $25.50 |
| 05-21 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $1.33 |
| 05-21 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 12:39 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 12:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 12:34 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |