PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dontshout

0xf9846df764681ab3b0b355b33ed5ec5193093925

Realised P&L
$-30.3k
Volume
$63.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$35.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-48.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 4? · No0.9990.996$3.36−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 4? · No0.9970.996$3.13−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 4? · No0.9990.998$3.02−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4? · No0.9930.993$3.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 4? · No0.9970.995$2.99−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 4? · No0.9970.998$2.50+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 4? · No0.9960.963$2.45−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 4? · No0.9990.998$2.34−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 4? · No0.9980.998$2.23−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 4? · No0.9990.998$2.23−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 4? · No0.9960.996$2.00−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 4? · No0.9960.994$1.88−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on October 4? · No0.9991.000$1.67+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 4? · No0.9950.980$1.64−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 63°F or below on October 4? · No0.9990.998$1.56−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 14:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 4?BUY0.9969999996$2.50
10-03 14:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 4?BUY0.999$3.37
10-03 14:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 4?BUY0.996$1.88
10-03 14:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 4?BUY0.999$2.23
10-03 14:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on October 4?BUY0.999$1.67
10-03 14:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 4?BUY0.995$1.67
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 4?BUY0.999$3.02
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 4?BUY0.9979999723$2.23
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 4?BUY0.999$2.34
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 63°F or below on October 4?BUY0.999$1.56
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 4?BUY0.9969999997$3.13
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 4?BUY0.996$2.54
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.996$2.00
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.997$3.00
10-03 14:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4?BUY0.992999998$3.00