0xf979389ddd34c64B6174493C46711bca1AC51C70-1762709193209
0xf979389ddd34c64b6174493c46711bca1ac51c70
- Realised P&L
- $-161.16
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $12.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.545 | $5.45 | +$1.55 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.914 | 0.775 | $4.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.435 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.028 | $0.19 | −$4.81 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.444 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.91at 0.500Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$2.91at 0.780No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$1.47at 0.170Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
- +$1.40at 0.630Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
- +$1.11at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.63 | $1.40 |
| 07-04 20:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 20:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999953 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 13:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 13:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.9599996544 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 13:49 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 13:49 | Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 13:49 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in July? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 13:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8999998425 | $4.00 |
| 06-25 21:00 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4439998029 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 15:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $5.81 |
| 06-08 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 17:11 | Will "Probably" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 17:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949991244 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 17:06 | Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.9699997866 | $1.00 |