0xf977ac27c17e497b4cad1a5060060c7f28c5666d
- Realised P&L
- $-272.98
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $1.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.285 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.082 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? · No | 0.070 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$13.21 |
| Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD Oriente Petrolero end in a draw? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$6.01 |
| Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi · Luciano Darderi | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.84at 0.457FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$57.30at 0.507San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
- +$55.07at 0.241Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Ahly SC end in a draw?
- +$41.76at 0.220Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)
- +$34.69at 0.496New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:17 | Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD Oriente Petrolero end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0574126098 | $6.06 |
| 09-17 23:16 | Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.07 | $13.30 |
| 09-16 20:07 | Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.309999975 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 20:02 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.211 | $1.43 |
| 09-14 20:40 | Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes | BUY | 0.4099999889 | $5.52 |
| 09-14 20:40 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 20:39 | Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes | BUY | 0.3699999789 | $6.30 |
| 09-14 20:36 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.499 | $4.39 |
| 09-14 20:36 | Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.74 |
| 09-14 20:36 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.512 | $1.19 |
| 09-14 20:36 | Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.07 |
| 09-13 22:27 | Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Concepción end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $7.32 |
| 09-13 20:58 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.8699999448 | $6.94 |
| 09-13 20:57 | Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 09-13 20:56 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.5 | $8.06 |