PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf977ac27c17e497b4cad1a5060060c7f28c5666d

Realised P&L
$-272.98
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$1.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1900.285$1.50+$0.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3400.082$0.24$0.76
Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? · No0.0700.001$0.10$13.21
Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD Oriente Petrolero end in a draw? · Yes0.0570.001$0.05$6.01
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi · Luciano Darderi0.4750.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00$1.00
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.3330.000$0.00$2.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.00
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? · No0.7500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:17Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD Oriente Petrolero end in a draw?BUY0.0574126098$6.06
09-17 23:16Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.07$13.30
09-16 20:07Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5BUY0.309999975$1.49
09-16 20:02Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.211$1.43
09-14 20:40Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki MontesBUY0.4099999889$5.52
09-14 20:40Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5BUY0.5199999792$3.00
09-14 20:39Rennes: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki MontesBUY0.3699999789$6.30
09-14 20:36Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.499$4.39
09-14 20:36Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?SELL0.93$4.74
09-14 20:36Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.512$1.19
09-14 20:36Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?SELL0.042$0.07
09-13 22:27Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Concepción end in a draw?BUY0.2$7.32
09-13 20:58US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.8699999448$6.94
09-13 20:57Mirassol FC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.001$1.10
09-13 20:56Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsSELL0.5$8.06