0xf96f38aa2e2998828e3e42304147d04f315277a0
0xf96f38aa2e2998828e3e42304147d04f315277a0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.89
- Volume
- $59.01
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.825 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.535 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.430 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.045 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.014 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$1.83at 0.359S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.15at 0.470Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.550Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.68at 0.600SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:41 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:40 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 01:13 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:23 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:07 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:09 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:54 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:50 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:49 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |