PolyBot

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Traders

0xf96f38aa2e2998828e3e42304147d04f315277a0

0xf96f38aa2e2998828e3e42304147d04f315277a0

Realised P&L
$-2.89
Volume
$59.01
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$2.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.7400.825$1.11+$0.11
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6200.535$0.86$0.14
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.7600.430$0.57$0.43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.045$0.12$0.88
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.3500.014$0.04$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:41Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-21 14:41Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6199997024$1.00
09-21 06:40Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-20 22:38Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-19 06:01Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-18 18:37S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-18 01:13SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-17 11:36Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-16 02:23Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-15 18:07Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-15 09:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-14 22:09Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-14 13:54Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-14 05:50Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-13 21:49Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.64$1.00