PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

12345123456

0xf968b20c0a62d3dccd6a0a648c5205690c3584bd

Realised P&L
$-234.45
Volume
$131.1k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$505.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.3200.845$235.64+$146.38
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.2980.953$225.35+$154.85
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.1880.057$24.99−$57.52
Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.5200.730$14.43+$4.15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2800.112$5.58−$8.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:42Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.52$10.28
09-23 14:41Will Croatia win Junior Eurovision 2026?SELL0.635693128$10.73
09-23 13:31Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.6599999941$15.71
09-23 12:29Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.4899999987$15.43
09-22 20:46Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.4782239725$40.39
09-15 20:38Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.1699316246$40.51
09-14 16:15Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.2599999989$58.13
09-14 16:14Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.1978932492$30.11
09-14 15:45Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.999$156.09
09-13 20:03Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.28$28.00
09-13 18:02Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.097426157$50.00
09-13 18:02Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.0325085904$10.00
09-13 18:02Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.32$50.00
09-10 19:26Will Croatia win Junior Eurovision 2026?SELL0.9916822612$122.10
08-14 21:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.38$5.95