11122201
0xf958ccc7d058c29b851b9d69bd8cfe42810b0b3d
- Realised P&L
- $-105.96
- Volume
- $61.8k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $5.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.45at 0.220Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 7?
- +$18.20at 0.099Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 10?
- +$16.18at 0.110Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 16?
- +$12.29at 0.140Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,900 on October 16?
- +$10.90at 0.155Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 15:53 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 15:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $20.33 |
| 05-22 07:35 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 16:43 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 09:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 04-04 03:30 | Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 03:30 | Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 03:28 | Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $0.90 |
| 03-13 05:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 13? | BUY | 0.3989998659 | $0.97 |
| 03-13 05:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 13? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 05:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 13? | BUY | 0.0267976519 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 05:39 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 05:39 | Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 05:39 | Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 05:35 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0133042856 | $1.00 |