0xf94b647dd78f4075adb24f44597ec22aa91ea36a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.32
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $4.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 25? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.00at 0.001Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$2.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.92at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$1.76at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:11 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:11 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 16:03 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:50 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 12:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 08:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 08:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 04:59 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.08 |
| 07-19 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $3.76 |