0xF93922E6ffD47cAa0687c723C983fC29bD9BE59b-1777665465246
0xf93922e6ffd47caa0687c723c983fc29bd9be59b
- Realised P&L
- $-361.19
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $139.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.022 | $137.23 | −$222.27 |
| Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.057 | $2.63 | −$7.37 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.797 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.97at 0.457Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$106.85at 0.805Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$93.56at 0.854Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$85.19at 0.883Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$53.56at 0.912Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 18:23 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0620553189 | $59.50 |
| 08-23 18:22 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0583641763 | $300.00 |
| 07-15 20:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999965 | $43.19 |
| 07-15 20:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.0975 | $45.74 |
| 07-15 20:44 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6774999999 | $217.81 |
| 07-15 20:43 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.222 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 20:42 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6774999979 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 07-14 20:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.24 |
| 07-14 20:39 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.0628761062 | $2.84 |
| 07-14 20:38 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.8808478121 | $276.14 |
| 07-14 20:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5189999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 18:01 | Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 18:01 | Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 18:00 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |