Ytghjjj
0xf92dea7bde2ba2b21a00a63d0e99c0afce28683b
- Realised P&L
- $-25.90
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $2.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in November 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.965 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.820 | $1.14 | −$0.03 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.820Will Can Xue win the Nobel prize in literature?
- +$0.47at 0.680Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?
- +$0.45at 0.997Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.30at 0.770LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$0.23at 0.919OpenSea blocks US users in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 07:47 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in November 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 07:47 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 07:47 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.71 |
| 10-30 07:47 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 07:45 | Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.996 | $169.83 |
| 10-30 07:45 | Is Earth flat? | SELL | 0.9927330604 | $150.32 |
| 10-28 08:42 | Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.997 | $170.00 |
| 10-28 08:41 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.995540458 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 08:41 | Is Earth flat? | SELL | 0.9926706667 | $148.90 |
| 10-28 08:41 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.995 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 08:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $150.00 |
| 06-08 13:28 | Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $399.60 |
| 06-08 13:27 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 13:27 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $110.54 |
| 06-01 08:14 | Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $400.00 |