CJason28
0xf928b243eab36df5a6c0e30fcfb0235866902da3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $219.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,126
- Open portfolio
- $566.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,126
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.930 | $454.47 | −$12.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? · No | 0.900 | 0.949 | $111.72 | +$5.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.83at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?
- +$130.82at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?
- +$120.71at 0.205Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26?
- +$95.38at 0.638Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?
- +$92.32at 0.907Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.9593771942 | $409.90 |
| 10-11 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.91 | $30.33 |
| 10-11 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $66.12 |
| 10-11 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.88 | $21.52 |
| 10-11 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $46.72 |
| 10-11 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9388795793 | $51.77 |
| 10-11 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.935504 | $18.71 |
| 10-11 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $67.89 |
| 10-11 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.96 | $82.56 |
| 10-11 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.12 |
| 10-11 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $21.33 |
| 10-11 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-11 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-11 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.80 |
| 10-11 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.94 | $38.15 |