PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

onedang

0xf9224ac0a0addfb10f3cb0bf6cd341241227dd4b

Realised P&L
$-17.62
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$4.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.0300.170$0.82+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 27? · Yes0.0400.045$0.58+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 28? · Yes0.0400.035$0.46−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? · Yes0.0400.035$0.46−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 28? · Yes0.0100.025$0.33+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 27? · Yes0.0300.020$0.26−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 28? · Yes0.0300.020$0.26−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 28? · Yes0.0200.020$0.26+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.0200.020$0.20+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 27? · Yes0.0100.010$0.13+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 27? · Yes0.0400.010$0.13−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.0300.006$0.08−$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 27? · Yes0.0100.005$0.07−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 27? · Yes0.0300.005$0.07−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 26? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 27?SELL0.02$0.18
09-26 16:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 27?SELL0.01$0.11
09-26 05:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 26?SELL0.01$0.13
09-26 05:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 26?SELL0.01$0.13
09-25 22:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 26?SELL0.01$0.13
09-25 16:01Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 26?SELL0.04$0.22
09-25 16:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 26?SELL0.04$0.52
09-25 07:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 25?SELL0.02$0.26
09-25 05:02Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 25?SELL0.05$0.39
09-25 04:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25?SELL0.012$0.16
09-25 04:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 25?SELL0.01$0.13
09-24 23:48Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 25?SELL0.01$0.13
09-24 22:40Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 25?SELL0.01$0.08
09-24 22:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 25?SELL0.02$0.26
09-24 21:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 25?SELL0.0241666667$0.29