wine5
0xf91bd209c6e03dcd2f6dc84ad04fd5a1d4afd121
- Realised P&L
- $-41.93
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $2.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.70at 0.800Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
- +$7.45at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$6.03at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2AM ET
- +$4.69at 0.566Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 02:46 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.0439999748 | $1.63 |
| 02-21 02:46 | Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.14 |
| 02-20 13:51 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.0068661627 | $0.49 |
| 02-16 16:30 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.0350927654 | $1.84 |
| 02-15 19:53 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 19:52 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 02-14 07:43 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 02-14 04:48 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 02-14 04:48 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.35 |
| 02-11 12:57 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.0172055015 | $3.00 |
| 02-11 12:01 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.09 |
| 02-09 21:17 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 20:17 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 16:06 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.18 |
| 02-04 07:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.38 |