PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wine5

0xf91bd209c6e03dcd2f6dc84ad04fd5a1d4afd121

Realised P&L
$-41.93
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
170
Open portfolio
$2.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded170
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.0390.021$1.92$1.55
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.0800.015$0.19$0.81
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$2.08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$4.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.6030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-21 02:46Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.0439999748$1.63
02-21 02:46Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?SELL0.15$1.14
02-20 13:51Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.0068661627$0.49
02-16 16:30Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.0350927654$1.84
02-15 19:53Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
02-15 19:52Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
02-14 07:43Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.50
02-14 04:48Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?SELL0.001$0.11
02-14 04:48Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.002$0.35
02-11 12:57Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.0172055015$3.00
02-11 12:01Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.01$1.09
02-09 21:17US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
02-09 20:17Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
02-09 16:06Another US bank failure by March 31?SELL0.26$1.18
02-04 07:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.06$0.38