PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a66666666

0xf9050c20e5909c8742f261582d10bc58138936b2

Realised P&L
$-22.62
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$159.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? · Yes0.3700.365$18.40$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.3690.365$16.79$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? · Yes0.4310.445$15.10+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 24? · Yes0.4700.480$13.92+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 24? · Yes0.1540.240$13.92+$5.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 23? · Yes0.5000.595$13.69+$2.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 24? · Yes0.5470.540$10.80$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.5160.575$10.44+$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 24? · Yes0.5900.595$10.12+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24? · Yes0.3580.315$7.88$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? · Yes0.4630.385$6.93$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 24? · Yes0.3800.305$4.58$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.5100.480$4.32$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? · Yes0.5900.655$3.27+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? · Yes0.4700.485$2.42+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 19:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.38$1.90
09-23 19:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.37$1.85
09-23 19:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.37$1.85
09-23 19:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.38$1.90
09-23 19:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.37$1.85
09-23 19:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.37$1.85
09-23 19:21Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.37$1.85
09-23 19:21Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.36046$1.80
09-23 19:21Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.37$1.85
09-23 19:21Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?BUY0.36$1.80
09-23 17:21Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.46$2.30
09-23 17:21Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.53$7.95
09-23 17:06Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.43$1.69
09-23 14:51Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24?BUY0.51$4.59
09-23 14:51Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on September 24?BUY0.34$1.70