PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

spots123

0xf8fe8933197bc0f3c0d127b04a76e80891327ac0

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will California Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9630.981$190.32+$3.49
Will Illinois Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9600.968$189.93+$1.56
Will Penn St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9600.975$131.87+$1.96
Will Virginia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9530.968$96.75+$1.45
Will Oklahoma St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9430.962$96.15+$1.85
Will Georgia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9550.965$85.88+$0.92
Will Arizona St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9630.981$68.73+$1.23
Will Vanderbilt Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9560.966$59.86+$0.56
Will Washington Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9480.973$58.37+$1.47
Will North Carolina St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9530.964$57.81+$0.63
Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0050.030$57.54+$48.35
Will Virginia Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9530.988$39.52+$1.40
Will the San Francisco 49ers be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$47.98
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 03:54Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0047903742$10.03
10-21 20:09Will Illinois Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.9624395604$87.58
10-21 20:09Will Georgia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.958$27.77
10-21 20:08Will Penn St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.96$33.91
10-21 02:30Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.14$72.71
10-21 02:28Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.14$126.00
10-18 23:10Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 13.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.9836296666$98.54
10-18 05:15Will Vanderbilt Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.9563333333$57.38
10-18 04:53Will North Carolina St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.953$57.18
10-18 04:52Will Illinois Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.958$100.79
10-18 04:51Will Arizona St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.963$19.26
10-18 04:51Will California Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.963$149.27
10-18 04:50Will Virginia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.953$36.53
10-18 01:00Will Virginia Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.953$38.12
10-18 01:00Will Georgia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.953$57.18