patricialeblanc
0xf8f9d92d2e77ebfcfb404364f0d4eb763c252cd7
- Realised P&L
- $100.70
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $15.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.525 | $15.43 | +$1.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.37at 0.458Lakers vs. Warriors
- +$29.36at 0.450Panthers vs. Browns
- +$19.79at 0.542Golden Knights vs. Kings
- +$19.34at 0.552Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$15.78at 0.640Spurs vs. Bulls
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.489999985 | $14.40 |
| 09-26 19:45 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 19:43 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.7199998953 | $3.30 |
| 09-26 19:40 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.4499999981 | $24.02 |
| 09-21 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5199999816 | $10.17 |
| 09-18 04:45 | Golden Knights vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5299999894 | $22.92 |
| 09-16 02:56 | Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4099999712 | $3.42 |
| 09-16 02:54 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.3399999934 | $3.11 |
| 09-13 13:02 | Jets vs. Titans | BUY | 0.4899999809 | $6.40 |
| 09-09 12:30 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.3899999948 | $11.93 |
| 09-06 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 7? | BUY | 0.3680046385 | $20.73 |
| 08-30 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.6299999887 | $10.01 |
| 08-27 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.3399999652 | $5.47 |
| 08-25 22:50 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $23.33 |
| 08-23 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.95 |